Oaktree Specialty Lending Inventory: A Choose For Energetic Managers (NASDAQ: OCSL)

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Background and Overview

Oaktree Specialty Lending (NASDAQ:OCSL) makes a speciality of BDC and company debt. Together with offering their public funding autos, Oaktree provides establishments entry to varied monetary devices. Oaktree has merchandise starting from mortgage-backed fastened revenue to equities. This selection presents Oaktree a powerful backdrop and an intensive investor base to pool property from. Because the market continues to right, Oaktree’s shares will proceed to lower; that is solely inflicting additional price-to-earnings compression and permits revenue and worth traders to select up shares cheaply.

Oaktree Specialty Lending: Investor Presentation 2021 - company overview data

Oaktree Specialty Lending Investor Presentation 2021

Supply: (Oaktree Specialty Lending Investor Presentation 2021)

Oaktree classifies itself as an asset supervisor. The corporate fields investments from the world over to spend money on varied asset lessons. This might fluctuate from personal fairness and actual property to credit score and listed equities. These industries have been doing very nicely not too long ago as cash continues to move out of passive administration; Oaktree may see AUM rise. The elevated investor payouts and additional yields from their credit score securitization portfolio will bolster progress.

Operational Execution and Intelligence

Total, Oaktree has carried out very nicely. AUM has naturally grown with the client base, and so long as the corporate can proceed to persuade pension funds and endowments to make the swap, their margin will proceed to extend. Shoppers need extra hands-on expertise with their cash, particularly in rate of interest hikes and hawkish fed developments, which can crush the general market. Oaktree is considerably insulated from these pressures due to its distinctive capacity to diversify throughout asset lessons with personal and public market publicity.

Q4 2021 earnings highlights

Oaktree Specialty Lending Investor Presentation 2021

Supply: (Oaktree Specialty Lending Investor Presentation 2021)

There have been quite a lot of developments all through 2021. The funding portfolio has been rising via the array of 140 firms and the kind of debt choices. Packaging collectively these high-grade company money owed provides fairness traders a considerable revenue alternative to learn from month-to-month payouts. The revolving credit score services permit Oaktree to control the payouts of those bonds for his or her payouts. The month-to-month revenue distribution from proudly owning Oaktree has elevated and was up 33% from a yr in the past. This is a wonderful alternative to select up shares in a rising month-to-month distributor with share worth appreciation.

Portfolio diversity pie chart and table

Oaktree Specialty Lending Investor Presentation 2021

Supply: (Oaktree Specialty Lending Investor Presentation 2021)

The range amongst varied industries ensures that the credit score portfolio will at all times stay robust. When one sector is in thought, the opposite will probably be on the excessive level of this cycle. The elevated publicity to know-how and biotech will probably be substantial as a result of these are rising firms that always function on revolving credit score services relating to their fairness. The equity-backed credit score revolving services are vetted nicely by Oaktree, put into these debt tranches, and bought off as merchandise that allow Oaktree to supply the yields they do. Total the enterprise mannequin is revolutionary and has a powerful degree of range.

The Enterprise Mannequin that Advantages from Charge Adjustments

Varied macro modifications will have an effect on the business’s general well being. Whereas the corporate is setting as much as profit from rising fee hikes, debt will naturally have greater yields. It is going to be simpler for Oaktree to seek out sustainable yields for debt traders to bolster their month-to-month payouts. Take into account that throughout 2021, charges have been held close to zero, and there was steady stimulus into the corporate. Now the pendulum is shifting again one other manner. As a result of there was rampant excessive inflation, the Fed is aware of it must act quickly, and the general debt image will look stronger due to the stimulus being lower off from the Fed.

Funding and liquidity metrics

Oaktree Specialty Lending Earnings Presentation 2021

Supply: (Oaktree Specialty Lending Earnings Presentation 2021)

The speed modifications could have a basic influence on the liquidity and efficiency of Oaktree. The Federal fee hikes will enhance the Federal fund’s rates of interest, enabling Oaktree to cost its clients greater personal credit score rates of interest. The money pile the corporate has established with its robust liquidity place will probably be materials in future earnings due to its continued payouts and progress.

Dangers are Low Due to the Sturdy Charge Outlook

There are low dangers as a result of the macro image helps shares so nicely. When charges rise, debt will essentially be costlier to take out, and Oaktree will have the ability to market these developments with the money place and offers they’ll make in the next fee atmosphere. Particularly with the alternatives of know-how and biotech sectors within the coming quarters and years. Oaktree has few sector dangers because of the comparatively few month-to-month revenue provisions. Eagle Level Credit score (ECC) is an organization considerably much like Oaktree. The 2 firms differ within the forms of debt they focus on however have the identical basic aim; to supply traders with steady revenue from a public funding automobile. Eagle Level is a CLO, and whereas CLOs are robust as an asset class, they’re comparatively undercovered, and BDCs have been the go-to asset class for revenue traders aside from the normal REIT and dividend shares. Total, fee hikes will probably be materials within the deal quantity and general revenue from Oaktree’s operations. It will depart shares in a powerful place for 2022, and I’ll proceed to amass shares at these ranges.

Valuation is Low Because of the Impending Macro Tailwinds

With the upcoming macro tailwinds, there will probably be a fabric enhance within the valuation of shares. With the credit score and month-to-month revenue distribution business, Oaktree is in an incredible place together with Eagle Level to succeed from these developments. I used Sixth Avenue Speciality Lending (TSLX) a BDC that primarily invests in company debt. Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) additionally operates as company investment-grade debt BDC.

Price return peer comparison

Oaktree Specialty Lending Searching for Alpha Worth Return Peer Comparability

Supply: (Oaktree Specialty Lending Searching for Alpha Worth Return Friends)

Each of those firms have carried out nicely. Nevertheless, Oaktree has been the clear winner. They lead their sector of their progress fee and distribution payout. With a 33% p.c month-to-month distribution progress fee YoY and the clear winner in worth return, I do not see why traders would spend money on some other BDC shifting ahead.

Price return peer comparison

Oaktree Specialty Lending Searching for Alpha Worth Return Peer Comparability

Supply: (Oaktree Specialty Lending Searching for Alpha EV/EBIT Friends)

Oaktree has not too long ago outperformed its friends, and earnings developments can profit from varied macro developments. Whereas each of the competing BDCs have carried out very nicely, the business as an entire has huge progress potential in 2022. I imagine all of Oaktree’s friends will carry out nicely. Oaktree has proven that its administration has the historical past to again up its worth efficiency.

Conclusion and Score

Oaktree is a powerful purchase of mine, and I extremely suggest traders decide up shares. The convergence of macro fee developments could have a fabric influence on earnings and solely help the enterprise’s backside line. Sooner or later, I stay up for protecting extra BDCs and revenue investments that may present traders with appropriate yields.

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